Winston Churchill defeated Adolf Hitler in the Battle of Britain by goading Hitler into a "colossal blunder".
Background:
The Battle of Britain of 1940 would ultimately consist of three (3) distinct phases. Hitler's goal was to invade and conquer Britain, an operation code-named Sea Lion. This required German Air Superiority over Britain (to guard the German invasion fleets), which in turn required the destruction the Royal Air Force (RAF). The Battle of Britain, therefore, amounted to Hitler's attempt to annihilate the RAF.
Phase 1: July - August, 1940
According to the documentary I Was There: The Blitz:
The narrator goes on to add:For two months, the RAF were goaded almost daily into costly battles with the Luftwaffe. This, the first phase of the Battle of Britain, beginning in July and lasting until early August, saw the Luftwaffe launch a series of attacks on channel ports and convoys. In these, the first six weeks of the Battle of Britain, the badly outnumbered British fighters suffered heavy losses... during this phase alone, 124 RAF fighters were lost.
Thus, after six weeks of having failed to lure the RAF out to its own destruction, the Germans changed tactics. Thus began phase two of the Battle of Britain.The RAF was repeatedly tempted to throw everything it had at the Luftwaffe. But this was a temptation that had to be resisted: in a war of attrition with Europe's largest Air Force, the RAF would certainly lose.
Phase 2: August 12-19, 1940
According to the documentary I Was There: The Blitz:
The scale of the German onslaught staggered the British forces. The narrator continues:The second phase of the German offensive began on August the 12th. It was an attempt to create gaps in the British defenses by destroying key radar stations and air fields. It was to push [British] Fighter Command to the limit of its endurance.
According to the the documentary Great Blunders of WWII: The Pilot Who Bombed London, bad weather grounded the Luftwaffe from the 19th to the 24th of August (after only 1 week of sustained attacks). During this lull, Herman Goering ordered the Luftwaffe to plan night attacks against British industrial centers. Most of these centers were located in the British midlands northwest of London. However, German flight-paths to these centers from their French air fields lay close to the outskirts of London. German bombers would rely upon Dead Reckoning navigation, which was notoriously inaccurate, and this would precipitate the chain of events that cost Germany the air war over Britain.On Eagle Day, August the 13th, 1400 German aircraft were launched in an all out offensive. It was the largest air attack yet seen in the Battle of Britain: 12 RAF airfields and control centers were bombed and strafed. Over the next 3 days of raids, unprecedented in air warfare, the number of attacking German aircraft increased to 1800. Two aircraft factories were hit, yet more air fields were badly damaged, and in one air raid alone, 46 British aircraft were destroyed in their hangars.
Phase 3: August 24 - September 6, 1940
According to the documentary I Was There: The Blitz:
According to the the documentary Great Blunders of WWII: The Pilot Who Bombed London, on the night of 24 August -- the first night of renewed German raids after the bad weather cleared -- a flight of 12 German night bombers strayed over the outskirts of London. This was due to a combination of navigational errors (see the comments on Dead Reckoning above) and poor visibility. Probably due to aircraft damage, "at least one of these bombers" jettisoned its payload, which fell over the outskirts of London.The period from the 24th of August to the 6th of September was the 3rd phase of the Battle of Britain, and the most dangerous time yet for [British] Fighter Command. In the 2 weeks of this critical period, Fighter Command lost 200 more planes than it managed to shoot down. Many of these losses came on the ground, as the Germans launched wave after wave of raids on sector air fields -- 6 out of 7 of which were critically damaged. 231 pilots were killed, wounded, or missing.
It may also be worth noting that, according to the documentary I Was There: The Blitz, the British blackout of London was so effective that the streets were "pitch black". And surveys showed that 1 out of every 5 people had actually suffered some kind of accident related injury due to the lack of visibility. It therefore seems possible that the German night bombers did not realize they were over London at all.
The bombing of London infuriated Hitler, who had issued standing orders expressly forbidding Terror Bombing of civilian centers. The bomber crews in question were severely reprimanded for their mistake, and, according to legend, they were sent to the infantry as punishment. Never-the-less, Churchill immediately ordered a "retaliatory raid" on Berlin. The next night, on the 25th of August, 81 RAF bombers raided Berlin. According to the documentary War Zone: Hitler's War (Pt I), they did so using incendiary bombs -- on Churchill's personal orders.
According to the documentary Great Blunders of WWII: The Pilot Who Bombed London, this was a terrible embarrasment for Hitler and Goering. Goering had publically boasted, to German and world audiences, that no British plane would ever fly over the Third Reich. Furthermore, Goering had added, "if they do, you can call me Meyer". This was the German equivalent of the infamous American name "Mudd". Churchill's "retaliatory raid" had made the Luftwaffe Reichsmarschall "Herman Mudd".
However, contrary to popular perception, Hitler held back and did not rescind his prohibition on Terror Bombing British cities. Instead, he wisely maintained pressure on the RAF air fields and sector stations. According to the documentary I Was There: The Blitz, phase 2 of the Battle of Britain had already pushed British Fighter Command "to the limit of its endurance", and phase 3 was more damaging still. Indeed, according to the documentary Battlefield Britain: Battle of Britain 1940AD, the outnumbered RAF pilots were on continual standby in readiness for the incessant German air attacks. Often staying awake for days at a time, by early Septemeber they were on the brink of total physical exhaustion and collapse. Something had to give, if Britain was to emerge triumphant.
Wily Winston Churchill Suckers Hitler into Blunder
We showed above that Churchill's "retaliatory raid" on Berlin did not immediately prompt Hitler to change his strategy in the Battle of Britain. Indeed, according to the documentary Great Blunders of WWII: The Pilot Who Bombed London, Churchill ordered two additional "retaliatory raids" on Berlin -- both while the skies over London were quiet and clear. These Terror Bombings occurred on the night of 28 August, and again on the night of 3 September:
Berliners were increasingly outraged, especially by the loss of prestige from Goering's "stupid boast", and the German press condemned the "cowardly British attacks" calling the British bombers "pirates". The now thrice shamed Herman "Mudd" Goering and the Nazi High Command feared civil unrest in Berlin.The Luftwaffe kept well away from London during the next few days and nights. But RAF bomber command did not observe the same policy towards Berlin. It was now firmly on their list of targets, and they returned to it on the night of the 28/29th of August. This time, German civilians were killed... [A] third RAF attack on the night of September 3/4th caused further death and destruction.
Bowing to this public pressure, Hitler addressed the German Nation the following night (4 September) at the Berlin Sports Palace with a powerful speech movingly portrayed in the movie Battle of Britain (1969):
For two more days, the Germans continued to raid British air fields and sector stations. According to the documentary War Zone: Hitler's War (Pt I):When the British Air Force drops 2 or 3 or 4 thousand kilograms of bombs, we will in one night drop 150, 250, 300 or 400 thousand kilograms. When they declare that they will increase their attacks on our cities then we will smash their cities to the ground.
Adolf Hitler
Berlin Sports Palace, 4 September 1940
Great Blunders of WWII: The Pilot Who Bombed London
Battle of Britain (1969)
Thus, not only did Churchill order the use of incendiary bombs from the very beginning, but he then ordered a bombing of Berlin after Rudolf Hess had already told the British government that the original Luftwaffe attack on London had been an accident, after the Luftwaffe had diligently avoided London as a token of fair play, and after Hitler had expressly warned that further attacks on Berlin would provoke Germany's retaliation (!). So it is entirely unsurprising, nay, even clearly forseeable, that:On August the 25th british bombers appear over Berlin, dropping incendiary bombs on Churchill's personal orders. The raid is repeated [on Aug. 28], and many civilians die. Hitler hurries back to berlin, but still draws back from attacking London. Rudolf Hess is asked to begin secret talks with his high level contacts in Britain.
The raids continue, and on September the 4th, Hitler announces in a forceful, fiery, mocking oration at the Sports Palace that if the British bombing of cities continues, he will now strike back:
If they proclaim they will attack our cities on a grand scale, we shall wipe their cities out.
Berlin is bombed again [on Sept. 6], and the next day Hitler sends his entire airforce to bomb the docks in East End of London... Hitler has no qualms now. Mr. Churchill has deliberately provoked these raids.
The War Zone: Hitler's War, Part I
New Phase: the Blunder of The Blitz (from 7 September, 1940)On Saturday September 7, German bombers attacked the London docks. That night, another 247 bombers, three times the number that had been attacking Berlin, raided the British capital again. 2000 Londoners were killed or injured in these two attacks. In what became nown as the Blitz, London was bombed every night but one during the next two months. Other British cities, as far north as Glasgow in Scotland, were also bombed. But none of this could disguise the fact that the Luftwaffe had failed. It had not destroyed the RAF, and therefore the invasion could not take place.
As mentioned above, according to the documentary Battlefield Britain: Battle of Britain 1940AD, the RAF pilots had been pushed to near total physical exhaustion and collapse. It argued that if Hitler had maintained his pressure on British air fields and sector stations, he would have won the Battle of Britain.
However, we have shown that Churchill's repeated "retaliatory" Terror Bombings of Berlin literally forced Hitler's hand (by shaming the Nazi Party leadership, and enraging the Germans' sense of pride). What is more, given Goering's "stupid boast", it predictably forced Hitler's hand. Hitler even recognized that Churchill had "goaded him into" his revenge bombings of London. Moreover still, Churchill had a supremely pressing motive to force Hitler into changing his focus from Fighter Command assets to London and other British cities: namely, to take pressure off his few and fully exhausted pilots.
Indeed, according to the documentary I Was There: The Blitz:
Thus is revealed how Churchill won the Battle of Britain: Churchill intentionally goaded Hitler into diverting Luftwaffe attacks away from vital military targets towards expendible civilian targets. It was a cruel decision that cost thousands of Londoners their lives. But it saved the British Air Force, and thereby saved Britain from Nazi invasion. Provoking The Blitz was also a stunning propaganda victory for Churchill, as the Nazi bombing stiffened British public resolve to carry on towards final victory.Turning his attention from bombing the fighter air fields to the bombing of London was Hitler's biggest mistake... the change in German tactics was a colossal blunder. The RAF had been forced close to breaking point by the constant attacks on air fields and sector stations. Now, it had gained a vital reprieve. But the price would be heavy -- tragedy for thousands of civilians.